{
  "schema": "vedokrok.public-item.v1",
  "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20261011-9e4b62c5",
  "url": "/knowledge/availability-heuristic",
  "id": "MHC-D-3E15987BA98F",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "kind": "concept",
  "title": "Availability heuristic",
  "summary": "What comes to mind first is not always what happens most.",
  "body": "The availability heuristic uses ease of recall as a cue for frequency or probability. That can be useful when memory tracks reality and misleading when recency, repetition, emotion, or personal experience makes a few examples unusually easy to retrieve.\n\nAsk why these examples are easy to remember. Compare them with a base rate or a deliberately chosen reference set when the decision matters. Separate how memorable a story is from how often the event actually occurs.",
  "use_when": [
    "You need to examine whether memorable examples reflect how often an event occurs."
  ],
  "limits": [
    "Using availability is not automatically an error. Specific claims about overestimation need evidence in the actual setting."
  ],
  "example": "After one dramatic production incident, a team treats the same failure as its main operational risk even though months of incident data point elsewhere.",
  "check": "If the vivid example disappeared from memory, what data would you use to estimate the risk?",
  "topics": [],
  "intents": [],
  "published_at": "2026-10-11T19:10:00Z",
  "review": {
    "kind": "agent",
    "label": "Agent editorial and scoped evidence review",
    "reviewed_at": "2026-10-11T19:01:14Z"
  },
  "source_ids": [
    "FP-CB-AVAILABILITY"
  ],
  "evidence": [
    {
      "claim": "The availability heuristic uses how readily relevant examples come to mind as a cue for frequency or probability; ease of retrieval can reflect factors other than frequency.",
      "source_id": "FP-CB-AVAILABILITY",
      "role": "supports",
      "locator": "Abstract",
      "note": "Frequency/probability judgment tasks; does not establish the direction of error in every setting. Practical questions below are editorial suggestions, not experimentally validated remedies. Access: abstract_only; 2026-10-11. Frequency/probability judgment tasks; does not establish the direction of error in every setting."
    }
  ],
  "editorial_overlay": null,
  "editorial": null,
  "notices": [],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "FP-CB-AVAILABILITY",
      "title": "Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability",
      "url": "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0010028573900339"
    }
  ],
  "relations": [],
  "collections": [
    {
      "id": "RC-FIRST-PARTY-JUDGMENT-CHECKS",
      "title": "Question the shortcut behind a judgment",
      "url": "/collections/question-the-shortcut-behind-a-judgment"
    }
  ],
  "topic_hubs": [],
  "solution_packs": []
}