{
  "schema": "vedokrok.public-item.v1",
  "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20260920-75ad787a",
  "url": "/knowledge/judge-readiness-after-the-answer-has-faded",
  "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0240",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "title": "Judge readiness after the answer has faded",
  "summary": "Confidence beside an open answer key is cheaply purchased.",
  "kind": "heuristic",
  "body": "Make a later judgment from the question or cue alone, then compare it with actual performance. Research on delayed judgments of learning found better prediction of later recall than immediate judgments in the tested tasks. Use the delay to improve calibration, not to declare your intuition infallible.",
  "limits": [
    "A well-calibrated recall judgment does not establish practical competence in a different task."
  ],
  "topics": [
    "union-learning-design"
  ],
  "intents": [],
  "source_ids": [
    "RS-08A632C1311D0B5D"
  ],
  "evidence": [
    {
      "claim": "Nelson and Dunlosky found that delayed judgments from learning cues predicted later recall more accurately than judgments made immediately after study.",
      "source_id": "RS-08A632C1311D0B5D",
      "role": "supports",
      "note": "A delay improves the information available for a judgment in the tested task; it does not eliminate overconfidence.",
      "locator": "Abstract"
    }
  ],
  "use_when": [
    "You mark everything as learned while the explanation is still in front of you."
  ],
  "avoid_when": [
    "A well-calibrated recall judgment does not establish practical competence in a different task."
  ],
  "example": "After a break, predict whether you can explain a term before opening the notes again.",
  "check": "Confidence is compared with an observable answer rather than recorded as the answer itself.",
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "RS-08A632C1311D0B5D",
      "title": "When People's Judgments of Learning Are Extremely Accurate at Predicting Subsequent Recall: The Delayed-JOL Effect",
      "url": "https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9280.1991.tb00147.x"
    }
  ],
  "relations": [
    {
      "from": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0240",
      "to": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0237",
      "type": "useful_with",
      "url": "/knowledge/space-review-for-when-the-knowledge-must-last"
    }
  ],
  "collections": [
    {
      "id": "RC-C1E3F750B0A3CC6C",
      "title": "Design practice that survives the study session",
      "url": "/collections/design-practice-that-survives-the-study-session"
    }
  ]
}
