{
  "schema": "vedokrok.public-item.v1",
  "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20260920-75ad787a",
  "url": "/knowledge/move-from-the-event-down-the-systems-iceberg",
  "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0339",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "title": "Move from the event down the systems iceberg",
  "summary": "The visible incident may be the smallest part of the problem.",
  "kind": "protocol",
  "body": "Start with the event, then ask what pattern appears over time, what structures make that pattern likely, and what assumptions or mental models help preserve those structures. Treat each deeper layer as a hypothesis to check against evidence. The point is to widen the intervention space beyond repairing the latest occurrence.",
  "limits": [
    "Do not present an inferred 'mental model' as a fact about another person; verify assumptions and prefer observable structures first."
  ],
  "topics": [
    "union-adaptive-thinking-tools"
  ],
  "intents": [],
  "source_ids": [
    "RS-F088B426026B3D38"
  ],
  "evidence": [
    {
      "claim": "The Donella Meadows Project presents the iceberg model as connecting a visible event to patterns of behavior, system structures and underlying mental models.",
      "source_id": "RS-F088B426026B3D38",
      "role": "supports",
      "note": "The deeper layers are prompts for investigation and should not be presented as established causes without evidence.",
      "locator": "The Iceberg Model"
    }
  ],
  "use_when": [
    "A recurring problem keeps producing local fixes without changing the pattern."
  ],
  "avoid_when": [
    "Do not present an inferred 'mental model' as a fact about another person; verify assumptions and prefer observable structures first."
  ],
  "example": "Repeated urgent data fixes may point beyond individual mistakes to ownership, validation and release structures that keep producing them.",
  "check": "The analysis produces at least one structural hypothesis that could be tested or changed beyond the immediate event.",
  "steps": [
    "The analysis produces at least one structural hypothesis that could be tested or changed beyond the immediate event."
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "RS-F088B426026B3D38",
      "title": "Systems Thinking Resources",
      "url": "https://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/"
    }
  ],
  "relations": [
    {
      "from": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0339",
      "to": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0340",
      "type": "useful_with",
      "url": "/knowledge/draw-a-connection-circle-when-causes-chase-each-other"
    }
  ],
  "collections": [
    {
      "id": "RC-1E80EF34BA7C785C",
      "title": "Choose a thinking tool from the shape of the problem",
      "url": "/collections/choose-a-thinking-tool-from-the-shape-of-the-problem"
    }
  ]
}