{
  "schema": "vedokrok.public-item.v1",
  "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20260920-75ad787a",
  "url": "/knowledge/sample-the-market-before-choosing-the-next-skill",
  "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0641",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "title": "Sample the market before choosing the next skill",
  "summary": "One signal can be loud without being representative.",
  "kind": "protocol",
  "body": "Collect a bounded sample of current roles you could plausibly want, across more than one employer. Extract repeated tasks, skills and requirements, note meaningful disagreements, and compare them with your existing capability map. Use the sample to choose learning questions, not to predict the whole labour market.",
  "limits": [
    "Job ads can copy trends, omit actual work or overstate wish lists; treat them as market evidence, not ground truth."
  ],
  "topics": [
    "union-career-portability-and-transition-readiness"
  ],
  "intents": [],
  "source_ids": [
    "RS-C0F55A08DAD82996",
    "RS-08236F26F4682132"
  ],
  "evidence": [
    {
      "claim": "OECD Skills Outlook 2025 argues that evolving skill demands make lifelong learning and timely labour-market intelligence important for helping adults adapt.",
      "source_id": "RS-C0F55A08DAD82996",
      "role": "supports",
      "note": "The report is a cross-country policy synthesis and does not prescribe one individual's career move.",
      "locator": "Make lifelong learning a reality; strengthen career guidance and information systems"
    },
    {
      "claim": "WEF's 2025 employer survey reports substantial expected skill change through 2030 and significant anticipated upskilling and reskilling needs among surveyed employers.",
      "source_id": "RS-08236F26F4682132",
      "role": "supports",
      "note": "These are employer expectations, not deterministic predictions; needs differ materially by industry, geography and firm.",
      "locator": "Skills outlook and training needs"
    }
  ],
  "use_when": [
    "A learning backlog is driven by social media, vendor marketing or one job post."
  ],
  "avoid_when": [
    "Job ads can copy trends, omit actual work or overstate wish lists; treat them as market evidence, not ground truth."
  ],
  "example": "Ten relevant postings repeatedly mention data governance and stakeholder facilitation, while only one names a fashionable tool; the learning priority follows the repeated job need.",
  "check": "The next learning choice can cite a repeated market signal rather than a single anecdote.",
  "steps": [
    "Target role family defined.",
    "Multiple employers sampled.",
    "Repeated tasks extracted.",
    "Repeated skills extracted.",
    "Outliers kept separate.",
    "Gap compared with current evidence."
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "RS-C0F55A08DAD82996",
      "title": "OECD Skills Outlook 2025",
      "url": "https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-skills-outlook-2025_26163cd3-en.html"
    },
    {
      "id": "RS-08236F26F4682132",
      "title": "The Future of Jobs Report 2025",
      "url": "https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2025/"
    }
  ],
  "relations": [
    {
      "from": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0641",
      "to": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0644",
      "type": "use_before",
      "url": "/knowledge/choose-the-smallest-bridge-skill-that-unlocks-an-adjacent-role"
    }
  ],
  "collections": [
    {
      "id": "RC-72B4F1DC8779A7DE",
      "title": "Make your skills portable before you need to move",
      "url": "/collections/make-your-skills-portable-before-you-need-to-move"
    }
  ]
}