{
  "schema": "vedokrok.public-item.v1",
  "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20260920-75ad787a",
  "url": "/knowledge/track-a-precursor-you-can-act-on-before-the-failure",
  "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-1271",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "title": "Track a precursor you can act on before the failure",
  "summary": "The best early metric points to a decision, not merely to an earlier number.",
  "kind": "protocol",
  "body": "Choose a leading indicator tied to a known failure path and an available intervention. Define what movement means, who responds, and the threshold or trend that triggers action. Prefer signals close to the mechanism: unresolved-hazard age, time in degraded mode, overdue critical checks, failed validations or response time to a known defect. A metric with no response rule is observation, not prevention.",
  "limits": [
    "Do not label a convenient activity count as 'leading' without a plausible connection to the risk. Revisit the indicator if it does not help decisions."
  ],
  "topics": [
    "union-error-prevention-weak-signals"
  ],
  "intents": [],
  "source_ids": [
    "RS-16406183CEAA5BDC"
  ],
  "evidence": [
    {
      "claim": "OSHA distinguishes leading indicators that reveal preventive activity or emerging problems from lagging indicators that measure outcomes that already occurred, and recommends using both.",
      "source_id": "RS-16406183CEAA5BDC",
      "role": "supports",
      "note": "A metric is not useful merely because it is early; it still needs to be specific, interpretable and connected to a decision.",
      "locator": "Leading Indicators overview"
    }
  ],
  "use_when": [
    "A known failure appears only in lagging outcome metrics after the opportunity to prevent it has passed."
  ],
  "avoid_when": [
    "Do not label a convenient activity count as 'leading' without a plausible connection to the risk. Revisit the indicator if it does not help decisions."
  ],
  "example": "Instead of waiting for failed releases, track how long critical production defects remain without an owner and escalate when age crosses the agreed limit.",
  "check": "When the signal moves, a named person knows what decision or action follows before the final failure occurs.",
  "steps": [
    "When the signal moves, a named person knows what decision or action follows before the final failure occurs."
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "RS-16406183CEAA5BDC",
      "title": "Leading Indicators",
      "url": "https://www.osha.gov/leading-indicators"
    }
  ],
  "relations": [
    {
      "from": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-1271",
      "to": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-1272",
      "type": "useful_with",
      "url": "/knowledge/pair-the-early-signal-with-the-outcome-it-is-meant-to-protect"
    }
  ],
  "collections": [
    {
      "id": "RC-4BAD27B85771C63B",
      "title": "Catch weak signals before they become expensive errors",
      "url": "/collections/catch-weak-signals-before-they-become-expensive-errors"
    }
  ]
}