{
  "schema": "vedokrok.public-item.v1",
  "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20260920-75ad787a",
  "url": "/knowledge/trace-side-effects-through-another-loop",
  "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-9125",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "title": "Trace side effects through another loop",
  "summary": "Side effects often travel through a different feedback path.",
  "kind": "protocol",
  "body": "Start from the intervention, trace the intended path, then deliberately search for a second path that changes capacity, incentives, information or delay. Compare time scales.",
  "limits": [
    "A causal map is a hypothesis, not proof. Keep evidence, time scale, boundary choices and alternative explanations visible before acting on a loop."
  ],
  "topics": [
    "union-systems-strategy-and-leverage-thinking"
  ],
  "intents": [],
  "source_ids": [
    "RS-592B2C21A3CDE468"
  ],
  "evidence": [
    {
      "claim": "System dynamics work emphasizes that well-intended interventions can be defeated by feedback-driven system responses, a pattern described as policy resistance.",
      "source_id": "RS-592B2C21A3CDE468",
      "role": "supports",
      "note": "A qualitative feedback story is not enough; links, delays and predicted behavior still need empirical or operational checking.",
      "locator": "Abstract"
    }
  ],
  "use_when": [
    "When a fix works on its primary metric but overall outcomes worsen."
  ],
  "avoid_when": [
    "A causal map is a hypothesis, not proof. Keep evidence, time scale, boundary choices and alternative explanations visible before acting on a loop."
  ],
  "example": "Automation cuts manual effort immediately but gradually reduces operator familiarity, increasing recovery time during rare exceptions.",
  "check": "The model names a plausible second path and a signal that could falsify it.",
  "steps": [
    "Draw the intended causal path.",
    "Search for a second path through another subsystem.",
    "Mark whether the side effect is faster or slower.",
    "Choose a monitoring signal for both."
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "RS-592B2C21A3CDE468",
      "title": "System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World",
      "url": "https://cmr.berkeley.edu/2001/08/43-4-system-dynamics-modeling-tools-for-learning-in-a-complex-world/"
    }
  ],
  "relations": [
    {
      "from": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-9125",
      "to": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-9126",
      "type": "useful_with",
      "url": "/knowledge/look-for-policy-resistance-before-scaling"
    }
  ],
  "collections": [
    {
      "id": "RC-28D91C30CEA1CB4A",
      "title": "Systems and strategic leverage: feedback, flow, modularity, robust options, and information value",
      "url": "/collections/systems-and-strategic-leverage-feedback-flow-modularity-robust-options-and-information-value"
    }
  ]
}