{
  "schema": "vedokrok.decision-source-map.v1",
  "id": "decision-information-map-v1",
  "map_version": "1.0.0",
  "title": "Would more information change this decision?",
  "scope": "website-owned view of selected released methods",
  "reader_entry": {
    "kind": "editorial_navigation",
    "question": "Considering more research before a low-risk decision?",
    "limit": "This reader question is website-authored navigation, not a corpus relation or personalized fit verdict."
  },
  "release": {
    "release_id": "MHC-RPUB-20261011-9e4b62c5",
    "corpus_commit": "9e4b62c5648844484b8cc3160f3e168d63a1241b",
    "projection_sha256": "d03d10dd52b53dec1ed850b7706847ba5b200e60f24c4fbda4518c2004356104",
    "manifest_sha256": "8cc91f0a764c635a79a18e06e048d3dc7bb1e07ae0fed6bf544c89832c024402",
    "website_snapshot_sha256": "b97dfd5520e2cf31744978d7e824b94e55bd12d9a2bdef759b5bc69a963375e5"
  },
  "methods": [
    {
      "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0400",
      "version": "0.1.0",
      "title": "Ask what perfect information could change",
      "url": "https://vedokrok.com/knowledge/ask-what-perfect-information-could-change",
      "kind": "question",
      "summary": "Information has decision value only through a choice it can improve.",
      "body": "Imagine learning the uncertain fact perfectly before you decide. Would you ever choose a different action? If not, the information has little or no value for this decision. If yes, identify the branches where it changes the action and use that to estimate how much effort better information may deserve.",
      "use_when": [
        "The team wants more research, testing or analysis before deciding."
      ],
      "avoid_when": [
        "A simple qualitative check is not a formal expected-value-of-information calculation and can miss rare high-consequence branches."
      ],
      "limits": [
        "A simple qualitative check is not a formal expected-value-of-information calculation and can miss rare high-consequence branches."
      ],
      "check": "The requested information is linked to a specific possible change in action or is deprioritized.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "id": "RS-58F1FE5B31D54046",
          "title": "Fifty years of decision analysis in operational research: A review",
          "url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2025.05.023"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "source_id": "RS-58F1FE5B31D54046",
          "role": "supports",
          "claim": "Value-of-information analysis compares the value of a decision made with additional information against the value of deciding without it.",
          "locator": "Value of information",
          "note": "Formal value-of-information calculations require a coherent decision model and probability assumptions."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0401",
      "version": "0.1.0",
      "title": "Stop buying certainty that cannot change the choice",
      "url": "https://vedokrok.com/knowledge/stop-buying-certainty-that-cannot-change-the-choice",
      "kind": "principle",
      "summary": "Research can become a very respectable form of postponement.",
      "body": "Compare the likely benefit of better information with its cost, delay and opportunity cost. If even perfect information about the remaining uncertainty would not change the action, stop collecting it for this decision. If information could change the choice, target the specific uncertainty with the highest leverage rather than researching everything.",
      "use_when": [
        "Analysis is expanding after the preferred action has become robust to the remaining uncertainty."
      ],
      "avoid_when": [
        "Information may have value beyond the current decision—compliance, safety, learning or future decisions—so do not discard it solely because current VOI is low."
      ],
      "limits": [
        "Information may have value beyond the current decision—compliance, safety, learning or future decisions—so do not discard it solely because current VOI is low."
      ],
      "check": "Every remaining research task has a named decision it could change or another explicit purpose.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "id": "RS-3E08C5D233E08B42",
          "title": "Perform Probabilistic Analysis and Identify Insights",
          "url": "https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/9781394283910.ch11"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "source_id": "RS-3E08C5D233E08B42",
          "role": "supports",
          "claim": "In decision analysis, perfect information about an uncertainty can have zero decision value when learning it would not change the preferred action.",
          "locator": "Value-of-information examples",
          "note": "Zero value in one model may reflect an incomplete objective or option set, so model quality should be checked first."
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "relations": [
    {
      "from": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0400",
      "to": "MHC-D-RESEARCH-0401",
      "type": "use_before"
    }
  ],
  "evidence_status": "Evidence claims, roles and limits are reproduced from the selected release; original publisher text was not freshly reviewed for this map.",
  "boundaries": [
    "A use_before relation is sequencing guidance, not causal proof or an instruction to apply both methods.",
    "Check rare high-consequence branches and safety, compliance, learning or future-decision purposes before stopping research.",
    "Use the responsible specialist and normal approval path for consequential decisions.",
    "The map makes no efficacy, superiority or demand claim. A downloaded copy does not update itself."
  ],
  "downloads": {
    "svg": "https://vedokrok.com/downloads/maps/decision-information-map-v1.svg",
    "markdown": "https://vedokrok.com/downloads/maps/decision-information-map-v1.md",
    "json": "https://vedokrok.com/downloads/maps/decision-information-map-v1.json"
  },
  "citation": "Vedokrok editorial agent. Would more information change this decision? Source map 1.0.0, derived from MHC-RPUB-20261011-9e4b62c5; methods MHC-D-RESEARCH-0400 v0.1.0 and MHC-D-RESEARCH-0401 v0.1.0; website snapshot b97dfd5520e2cf31744978d7e824b94e55bd12d9a2bdef759b5bc69a963375e5. https://vedokrok.com/downloads/maps/decision-information-map-v1.json"
}
